Tway got through the cut at both full-field elevated events, finishing top 40 in both. Look for these on Wednesday afternoons. Birdie percentage: Birdies are king this week. Golf course Bay Hill Club and Lodge | Par 72 | 7,466 yards Course comparisons (according to This site is strictly intended for adults (18+) He just missed a massive 130-1 score last week when Hayden Buckley finished second at the Sony Open. The PGA Tour heads to Bay Hill Club and Lodge in Orlando, Florida this week for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational. https://sportsbookwire.usatoday.com/category/pga-odds-lines-picks-predictions, PGA Tour odds, lines, picks and predictions, NFL Fantasy Football Rankings, Sleepers and Analysis, Jeff Overton odds, tips and betting trends for the Puerto Rico Open, Ludvig Aberg odds, tips and betting trends for the Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard, Roberto Diaz odds, tips and betting trends for the Puerto Rico Open, Eric Axley odds, tips and betting trends for the Puerto Rico Open, Seonghyeon Kim odds, tips and betting trends for the Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard, Will Zalatoris odds, tips and betting trends for the Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard, Justin Thomas odds, tips and betting trends for the Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard, Min Woo Lee odds, tips and betting trends for the Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard, Ben Taylor odds, tips and betting trends for the Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard, Ryan Palmer odds, tips and betting trends for the Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard, Aaron Rai odds, tips and betting trends for the Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard, Eric Cole odds, tips and betting trends for the Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard, J.J. 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Check out the odds below, then visit SportsLine to see Patrick McDonald's top prop picks for The American Express 2023, all from the expert who is up almost $700 on his PGA Tour picks this season, and find out. Rahm is the best player in the world until further notice. Back the 2017 Open Championship winner to triumph at +3000 with Caesars Sportsbook. Gehman: Brian Harman (35-1, DraftKings) Harman is one of the most fascinating players in this field. Hes been wildly inconsistent in each facet of his game, and this price is too much to stomach compared to his peers. His putter is better than average, but it won't keep him in contention. A strong field will tee off Thursday beginning at 11:30 a.m. Adam Svensson ($8,700 DraftKings | $10,200 FanDuel). Mayo: Maverick McNealy (18-1, DraftKings) Mav has a good chance to win, but I cannot in good conscience bet him when hes the same price as Morikawa. Byeong Hun An (+550 = Top 20) After slotting at No. The second-place finish is the Europeans fourth top-12 in his last six events. Bay Hill leader Kurt Kitayama has multiple flattering nicknames The field includes 44 of the top 50 players in the World Rankings, which is the most of any event since the 2022 Open Championship. And which massive long shot has a chance to stun the golfing world? WebPGA Tour betting predictions, tips, analysis and best picks surrounding PGA Tour events, including outright, PGA Tour prop bets and much more. Gdula: Russell Henley (+410, FanDuel) Henleys profile is a lot like Morikawas: hyper-accurate, elite irons, bad putting. Well do the same taking a couple from each article and summing it up for you! Powers, Golf Digest: Maverick McNealy (18-1, DraftKings) McNealy is on a streak of three consecutive top-20 finishes, but its all thanks to a scorching hot putter. Web12 of the Best PGA-Rated Golf Courses for Your Bucket List - SPY 1 week ago 1. Not surprisingly, the Mississippian ranked third in the field by average 14 greens in regulation per round. While he still has work to do, many fully exempt members would love to trade places with that position, but it projects to improve at Bay Hill where he placed T17 in his last trip in 2019. The other was Stuart Appleby, who won the Sentry Tournament of Champions in 2004, 2005 and 2006. Like the WGC-Dell Technologies Match Play, the annual trip to New Orleans is a great change of pace. McIlroy disappointed with a T-32 in Phoenix and T-29 in Los Angeles, but his advanced metrics tell a different story. CBS Sports is a registered trademark of CBS Broadcasting Inc. Commissioner.com is a registered trademark of CBS Interactive Inc. site: media | arena: golf | pageType: stories | TPC Scottsdale 3. Hes gaining a staggering 3.25 strokes per round over his past 36 rounds, per the RickRunGood.com golf database. Shriners: Emiliano Grillo. Now hell head to Bay Hill with little experience to bank on. Sungjae Im ($10,700 DraftKings | $11,900 FanDuel). Though playing from the fairway is important, the course regression model at RickRunGood.com indicates that clubhead speed is more indicative of successonly six other courses were more correlated to success last year. Christiaan Bezuidenhout ($7,100 DraftKings | $8,900 FanDuel). Mayo (@ThePME) was named 2021 Daily Fantasy Writer of the Year by the Fantasy Sports Writing Association, while also being a finalist for Podcast of the Year and Golf Writer of the Year. Hes teed it up eight times and has earned just one top 25 in a full-field eventa T-12 at the Sony Open. Mayo: Matt Kuchar (50-1, DraftKings) BACK to the scene of the crime from Kuch. RELATED: Here are the odds for every player in the field this week at the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational, Rory McIlroy ($10,600 DraftKings | $11,900 FanDuel). 2023 Genesis Invitational Golf DFS Fades & Pivots: Whats Wrong With Tom Kim? F1 DFS is BACK! 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational DFS: Top FanDuel, DraftKings daily One of the most accurate players in the field and always seems to make the putts he should. McNealys longer than he is accurate, and the irons arent particularly great. Brent Grant ($6,400 DraftKings | $7,600 FanDuel). Released Monday night/Tuesday Morning. Hell look to find some putting improvements this week on the greens at PGA National. Davis Riley Its like a rite of passage across the United States. McClure's model predicted Jon Rahm to finish on top of the leaderboard at the 2023 Sentry Tournament of Champions, the American Express and the Genesis Invitational. Its his fifth payday in as many starts in 2023 but first start in three weeks. Hes gained strokes with his putter in 12 straight starts so if he can strike it well again, hell be in line for a great finish. Over the past 100 rounds, hes the fourth-best tee-to-green player in the field, per the RickRunGood.com golf database. He got his first career victory less than a month later and finished the season with four. Matt Fitzpatrick ($8,800 DraftKings | $10,300 FanDuel). Players 2023: The 13 best bets to win at TPC Sawgrass Now he heads back to Bay Hill, where he has dominated in his careerhe has gained a staggering 74.68 strokes to the field across eight starts, or just over 9.3 strokes per event, which includes a win in 2018 and six other top-15s. Hes gained 17.03 strokes putting over his last six measured starts, per the RickRunGood.com golf database. Bermuda: Denny McCarthy. Hennessey, Golf Digest: Thomas Detry (40-1, DraftKings) Im surprised were still getting 40-1 on Detry after his run of really good golf. Rick Gehman, founder of RickRunGood.com and the RickRunGood YouTube Channel, is one of the industrys leading experts on golf DFS and gambling. Each lineup consists of four starters and two Expect regression in that category against a much deeper field. The Honda Classic is the first stop, and although. I was excited to see Englishs T-12 last week at Riviera until I saw the 8.8 strokes he gained puttingthe best putting performance of his career, per the RickRunGood.com golf database. Each lineup consists of four starters and two bench players that can be This run of good form has resulted in two top-10 PGA Tour finishes in his last four events. 1 Scottie Scheffler. One of McClure's favorite prop bet picks this week at the Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023 is veteran Jason Day to finish in the top-20 of the final leaderboard at +125 odds (risk $100 to win $125). 13 in the Power Rankings for The Honda Classic, he was comfortably inside the top 10 entering the final round before falling into a five-way tie for 21st with a Sunday 73. He tied for 25th in 2022, and he has been a different player since then. NOT GREAT, BOB!!!! In fact, the model is up over $8,300 on its best bets since the restart, nailing tournament after tournament. Cole was impressive and a great story last week, but theres a big red flag in his stat profile. The pairs will need to make a lot of them to have a chance to win. GOLF DIGEST MAY EARN A PORTION OF SALES FROM PRODUCTS THAT ARE PURCHASED THROUGH OUR SITE AS PART OF OUR AFFILIATE PARTNERSHIPS WITH RETAILERS. Scottish Open Picks Jordan Spieth often excels the week before a Major and loves the links. Morikawa is fresh off a T-6 at Riviera where he gained 8.25 strokes from tee-to-green, per the RickRunGood.com golf database. But the hole I like best at Bay Hill is the par-4 eighth, a lovely dogleg-right with a diagonal green perched above a small circular pond. Follow him on Twitter: @RickRunGood. Picks Gdula: Tony Finau (-118) over Aaron Wise (FanDuel) Finau is by far the best in the field over the past 20 rounds, and even using past-year data with recency adjustments, my head-to-head model thinks Finau should be around -135 in this matchup over Wise. Caddie: Jason Day (45-1, DraftKings) Theres something quietly brewing right now with the former World No. The model also included J.T. Rory McIlroy, No. CJ Cup: Matt Fitzpatrick. Here are the stats you should be paying attention to. Rounds 2 and 4: Alternate shot. One surprising pick from McDonald this week: The expert is strongly fading Schauffele, who could struggle even if he is healthy. Previous weeks: Fortinet Championship: Cam Davis. Overall, 23 of the games best 25 players will tee it up come Thursday. After debuting with a T17 in 2017, he piggybacked it with a T7 in 2018 and a T10 in 2019. Shriners: Taylor Montgomery. 6-keys: media/spln/golf/reg/free/stories, at RELATED: Worldwide Technology Championship DFS picks 2022: Scottie Schefflers glaring weakness. A look at past performance charts from Golfstats site founder Sal Johnson shows golfers in the field this year who have finished top-10 multiple times over the last six years include: Rory McIlroy, Marc Leishman, Matthew Fitzpatrick, Tyrrell Hatton, Sungjae Im, Tommy Fleetwood, Chris Kirk, Luke List, Keith Mitchell and Lucas Glover. Stephen Hennessey, Golf Digest dep. PGA DFS Optimizer Picks Arnold Palmer Invitational: Jordan Spieth at a Ball Striking Venue is a Lock, 2023 Honda Classic First Round Leader Picks: Garrick Higgo Can Surprise Everyone, 2023 Genesis Invitational First Round Leader Picks: Jordan Spieth Looks Ready to Start Fast, 2023 WM Phoenix Open First Round Leader Picks: Russell Henley Could Sneak Up On Everyone. He missed the cut in both Phoenix and Los Angeles, struggling to put all four facets of the game together. Aaron Baddeley Its not easy to get into the Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard while navigating a season on Past Champion status, and hes in on merit to boot. So which 2023 American Express picks should you target? Mayo won the 2020 FSWA Daily Fantasy Writer of the Year and Golf Writer of the Year awards, along with the Fantasy Sports Trade Association Best Sports Betting Analyst award in 2020. GOLF DIGEST MAY EARN A PORTION OF SALES FROM PRODUCTS THAT ARE PURCHASED THROUGH OUR SITE AS PART OF OUR AFFILIATE PARTNERSHIPS WITH RETAILERS. He has two top-five finishes in his past four trips to this event. Rahm was two strokes off the lead heading into the weekend, but the model still projected him as the winner. Bethpage State Park Golf Course 6. The 26-year-old hasn't been great in this event the past two years, but he did finish third in 2020. Now that hes warm, Bay Hill actually presents a better fit for his long ball off the tee, but in this beefier field, hes slipped behind the crowd, and thats good for us. This week, the PGA Tour is in Detroit for the Rocket Mortgage Classic at Detroit Golf Club, a track designed by Donald Ross. Sam Ryder ($7,000 DraftKings | $8,300 FanDuel). Though he was never really at the top on Sunday with a chance to win, he played great in the runner-up finish and that should translate to another chance to win here. Combine that with a wild driver, and Spieth will likely be playing out of the thick rough often at Bay Hill, narrowing his path to the top of the leaderboard. Set a budget. Hes accomplished both on and around the greens, which gives him the highest upside and most well-rounded golfer teeing it up. Hes now played 12 times this season, making the cut in 10 starts while earning six finishes of T-32 or better. Released Tuesday. His game looks close, finishing T-5 at the Zozo Championship and T-21 at the CJ Cup in his only two PGA Tour starts this season. Previous weeks: Fortinet Championship: Emiliano Grillo. His last four starts, not including the staggered-start Tour Championship, resulted in two wins and a T-5. Hes also likely to lose a lot of strokes puttinglike he did at Riviera (losing seven strokes/putting), making it 17 straight events losing with that club. His best finish was a seventh-place finish in 2021, so he should be brimming with good vibes here. 13 in the , he was comfortably inside the top 10 entering the final round before falling into a five-way tie for Berrymans Arnold Palmer Invitational Core Plays: Few Handle Wind as Well as Scottie Scheffler. Every year, theres a contingent of native and resident Southeasterners who find a return to bermuda greens as comfortable as sliding on a favorite T-shirt. At $9,900, this is the most expensive Chris Kirk has been on DraftKings since the 2021 Zurich Classic ($10,100)a team event. With winds projected to gust, a couple of confident sharpshooters will surprise despite the length of the track. Caves Valley Golf Club, 2. Sleeper Picks: Arnold Palmer Invitational - pgatour.com The 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational at Bay Hill Club and Lodge in Orlando is next up on the PGA Tour schedule, the third designated event in four weeks. Shane Lowry (T-35, T-3, T-3), 3. ), one of the most memorable California Swings in recent memory. Listen to Golf Digest's weekly betting podcast, "The Loop" (above) where we interview the industry's leading experts (and sometimes tour pros) to help you make your bets and pick your fantasy lineups. 2 Scottie Scheffler, Patrick Cantlay and Jon Rahm among the top names. Zozo: Sungjae Im. Before you lock in any 2023 American Express picks, be sure you check out the PGA Tour predictions and best bets from SportsLine golf insider Patrick McDonald. picks He gained 7.86 strokes ball-striking at Riviera, the best mark since his victory in Memphis last year. Taylor Montgomery ($7,400 DraftKings | $9,100 FanDuel). You can only see his Arnold Palmer Invitational best bets at SportsLine. Were back with another edition of PGA Other top contenders in the Arnold Palmer field include Rory McIlroy (19-2), Scottie Scheffler (11-1), Max Homa (19-1), Collin Morikawa (21-1), Justin Thomas (23-1), Xander Schauffele (24-1) and Will Zalatoris (24-1). Kevin Yu ($6,900 DraftKings | $8,600 FanDuel) Andy Lyons No matter the finishing position, you can Hes been competitive in the toughest fields of the year and will now get to battle a much weaker composition of his peers. 1:10 am ET, be sure to check out the PGA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine golf expert Mike McClure, You can head to SportsLine now to see all of McClure's 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational prop picks, sleepers, head-to-head matchups, best bets, and his top one and done pick, You can see the rest of McClure's Arnold Palmer Invitational prop bet picks at SportsLine, You can only see his Arnold Palmer Invitational best bets at SportsLine, Visit SportsLine to see McClure's 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational best bets, all from the expert who's up over $9,600 since the PGA Tour restart, See the full Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023 picks, best bets, and predictions here, Spieth among many chasing at Arnold Palmer Invitational, Tiger Woods opts to not play Players Championship, WATCH: Viktor Hovland drains ace at Arnold Palmer, How to watch 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational, Report: Pebble Beach will be designated event in 2024, Rahm leads (again) at Bay Hill after Round 1, 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational props, expert picks, Spieth among chasers at Arnold Palmer Invitational, Tiger Woods opts to skip 2023 Players Championship, Report: PGA Tour to reduce fields of designated events, Kirk breaks 8-year drought with emotional Honda win. Min Woo Lee hasnt played an official PGA Tour event since the Open Championship (T-21) but has been crushing the DP World Tour as of late. Gehman: Zecheng Dou (180-1, DraftKings) Dou just posted his best finish of the season, a T-17 in Bermuda last week. 1 ranking to Rory McIlroy, but he has not really been himself since Sunday at East Lake. As the Florida swing continues, the PGA Tour heads to Bay Hill Club and Lodge in Orlando for the Arnold Palmer Invitational, the third designated event in four weeks. Hes playing well, with three straight top-25 finishes while peppering in three top-10 finishes within his last nine starts. Noren has missed the last two cuts at elevated events by a total of three strokes. The putting woes continued for Spieth, who lost three strokes to the field in just two rounds at Riviera before missing the cut. If he puts together four complete rounds, Day will likely be in contention when Sunday comes around and McClure sees huge value in taking him to finish in the top-20. Mayo is on the board of governors at www.fantasynational.com. Poston +5000Sahith Theegala +5000Adam Hadwin +5000Andrew Putnam +5500K.H. One of these players had an excellent finish his last time in Palm Springs and has been in solid form.You can find out who it is, and see the rest of McDonald's American Express picks, predictions, and best bets at SportsLine. Schauffele (19-1), Zalatoris (19-1) and Tom Kim (20-1) also are top choices, while Si Woo Kim is priced at 29-1 at Caesars. Hennessey: Viktor Hovland An easy case to make to roll with the two-time defending champ. Sanderson Farms Championship: Denny McCarthy. The good news is that List has gained strokes putting in three of his five trips to Bay Hill, so heres hoping he can unlock those feels on the greens this week. Follow the Twilight 9 Podcast: Apple Podcasts|Spotify|Google Podcasts. He gained 8.42 strokes putting at the Honda Classic. Will Zalatoris tees off on the tenth during the third round of the World Golf Championships-Dell Technologies Match Play golf tournament. Before you lock in any 2023 American Express picks, be sure you check out the PGA Tour predictions and best bets from SportsLine golf insider Patrick McDonald. On the other hand, Scheffler's putting can be a weakness, but he can make up for it with every other part of his game. Rileys constant is as a stripe show on approach, so our speculation relies on a hot putter to disrupt. picks The pro-am event, once known as the Bob Hope Desert Classic, has an average winning score of 24 under par over the past 10 years. Now hell travel to PGA National, where hes gained strokes putting in three straight trips. The main feature at PGA National (and most Florida courses) is water! Sanderson Farms Championship: Sam Burns. He also was among the turnarounds at the Honda a T29, easily his best effort in five starts in 2023. 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational Golf DFS Fades & Pivots: Cameron Young Primed for Breakthrough, Fantasy Golf Sleepers & GPP Picks for 2022 Charles Schwab Challenge DraftKings & FanDuel Lineups This Week, RSM Classic Data & Stats | PGA DFS Picks for DraftKings & FanDuel Lineups, DraftKings Golf Cheat Sheet: Best PGA DFS Picks for the Arnold Palmer Invitational | Jason Day, FanDuel Golf Cheat Sheet: Best PGA DFS Picks for the Arnold Palmer Invitational | Scottie Scheffler, PGA DFS Top 5 Sleepers: The Northern Trust DraftKings + FanDuel Picks This Week with Phil Mickelson | Today, 8/17, Top 5 PGA Fades: The Northern Trust PGA DFS Picks for DraftKings + FanDuel This Week | Bryson DeChambeau, Top 5 PGA DFS Value Plays: The Northern Trust PGA DFS Picks for DraftKings + FanDuel with Shane Lowry | Today, 8/17, Top 5 PGA Fades: Wyndham Championship PGA DFS Picks for DraftKings + FanDuel This Week | Hideki Matsuyama, PGA Championship DFS Picks Final Round DraftKings Fantasy Golf Picks & Predictions, Above the Cut: PGA DFS Advice & Daily Fantasy Golf Picks for the Wyndham Championship on DraftKings & FanDuel, The Stokastic PGA DFS Content Schedule | When and Where to Find All Our Free & Premium Content, PGA DFS: DraftKings & FanDuel Strategy Guide. His game can clearly travel and his upside is immense. Alldrick, FanShare Sports: Thomas Detry (40-1, DraftKings) Detry will be coming into this event brimming with confidence after his runner-up finish last week. What 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational prop bets should you target? Hes combining solid approach play with a hot putter to throw his name into the mix more consistently. After a dreadful few years, Tway is playing some of his best golf in recent memorymaking six of his last eight cuts. In a memo to PGA Tour members sent to players Wednesday, PGA Tour Commissioner Jay Monahan made the news Hes very inconsistent and has struggled putting all four rounds together, but you can see hes growing and getting more comfortable on the PGA Tour. Rahm, who won this tournament in 2018 and rallied for victory in his last outing at the Sentry, is the 11-2 favorite in Caesars Sportsbook's latest The American Express 2023 odds. Cantlay/Schauffele (8.9 percent), 2. Hes had the best short game of anyone in this field over the past 50 rounds, so that should no longer be a concern. Hes gained strokes with the flatstick in six of his last seven measured events. Poston Repeat Last Years First-Round Heater? His perception has been buoyed by two straight third-place finishes at the Sony Open and American Express. Adding to the challenge is that every golfer can be used only three times per each of four Segments. Aside from the experts below, Fantasy Insider Rob Bolton breaks down the field at this year's The Open Championship in this week's edition of the Power Rankings. For more fantasy, check out Rookie Ranking , Qualifiers and Reshuffle. Alldrick, FanShare Sports: Scottie Scheffler (9-1, DraftKings) This price is too low for someone who has played just one event in the last nine weeks. You can head to SportsLine now to see all of McClure's 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational prop picks, sleepers, head-to-head matchups, best bets, and his top one and done pick. McDonald also has been on the money on his matchup plays and cashed in huge on Brendan Steele (80-1) as the first-round leader at the Zozo Championship. Gehman is co-host of the First Cut Podcast and appears regularly on the Pat Mayo Experience golf podcasts. Follow Rob Bolton on Twitter. Caddie: Aaron Wise (+220, Bet365) Wise has gone 10th, MC, second and 15th in his last four trips to Mayakoba, and hes coming off his third top-15 finish in his last four starts. Kim); Powers: 1 for 1 (Detry (+110) over McCarthy); Alldrick: 1 for 1 (Detry (-125) over Meronk; Mayo: 0 for 1; Gdula: 0 for 1; Gehman: 0 for 1; Hennessey: 0 for 1, Matchup Results from this season (Wins-Losses-Pushes): Hennessey: 5-1-0 (up 3.8 units); Gehman: 4-2-0 (up 1.65 units); Caddie: 3-3-0 (down 0.1 units); Alldrick: 4-2-0 (up 1.38 units); Powers: 2-4-0 (down 1.85 units); Mayo: 1-4-0 (down 3.1 units); Gdula: 0-5-1 (down 5 units). His value will be flattened on course history alone -- since his debut in 2020, hes gone T18-7th-T20 but thats OK because its the kind of consistently strong form we want in every investment, not to mention that hes navigated Bay Hill in a variety of conditions to extend that confidence into this weeks fray. With winds projected to gust, a couple of confident sharpshooters will surprise despite the length of the track. SportsLine's proprietary model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, has been red-hot since the PGA Tour resumed in June of 2020. Hes played well at Bay Hill the last two years, but he was in much better lead-in form. CJ Cup: Sungjae Im. Sports Betting Legality Map 2023 Honda Classic PGA DFS Preview: Can Sungjae Im Bounce Back as Top Stud of the Field? Past results: Golf Digest's betting panel caught fire at the end of the summer, correctly predicting the winner in five of the final six events of the season. Aaron Wise ($9,200 DraftKings | $11,600 FanDuel). We are only five starts removed from his win at the RSM Classic, and he earned a top 10 at the Honda Classic last year despite losing four strokes with the flatstick.
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