Galen Druke speaks with POLITICO Europe's Cornelius Hirsch and Clea Caulcutt about the dynamics at play in the French presidential election. How FiveThirtyEight Calculates Pollster Ratings. They also consider whether a poll that asks Americans if they think the U.S. is currently in a recession is a "good or bad use of polling.". Tucker Carlson Has Exclusive Access To Jan. 6th Security Tapes. What do we know about the novel coronavirus, and what do we know we don't know? Although much of our elections-related attention is already trained on 2024, there are consequential elections happening this very calendar year. The crew asks whether Biden's approval rating could be boosted by the American Rescue Plan and how popular he'd have to be to avoid a backlash at the midterms. But you can form your own by listening and learning (and learning how to listen). Lastly, the team analyzes how the educational divide is shaping American politics. Nate Silver to FiveThirtyEight Critics: 'Fuck You, We Did a Good Job' They also discuss how the country has changed demographically and geographically over the past decade, based on the newly released 2020 census data. Find us at ThisDayPod.com. Nate Silver and Galen Druke discuss why live caller surveys are no longer the gold standard in polling and what it means for the future of the industry. They also ask whether the Republican Party can coalesce around an alternative to former President Donald Trump and whether President Bidens recent dismissal of the polls is a good or bad use of polling. While it appears unlikely that 17 Republicans will join Democrats in voting to convict the former president, the evidence presented could help shape the views of the public regarding what happened at the Capitol on January 6, 2021. The crew discusses why Sarah Palin may not be a shoe-in for a vacant House seat in Alaska. Plus, they debate the best way to ask Americans about their political identity. We also look at the future of inflation with economist Kenneth Rogoff. Later, Monica Potts joins to discuss why voters sometimes contradict their partisan beliefs on ballot measures. Hello and welcome to the identity politics podcast I'm deal injury work. The crew tries to unpack whats driving Democrats legislative decisions and who will have to compromise to pass the party's agenda. Local news is disappearing across the country. They also take a look at the endorsements former President Trump has made in 2022 congressional primaries and discuss why worries about inflation can be so politically potent. RSS Loading. Today, we wanted to share the first episode of the ABC News podcast series, "In Plain Sight: Lady Bird Johnson," which uncovers the former first lady's surprisingly powerful role in the Johnson presidency and includes history-making revelations about Lyndon B. Johnsons time in office. The team also discusses public opinion on gun laws after recent mass shootings in Texas, New York and California. They also address concerns that the 2020 Census resulted in an undercount of Latinos. January 23, 2023 Examined What comes next after Texas school shooting? With one week left until Election Day, the crew analyzes some of the high-profile races and which issues Americans care about most as they enter the voting booth. It's easy. The crew discusses what high gas prices have meant for politics historically and outline the debates in Washington over how to bring those prices down. . The Gabfest, featuring Emily Bazelon, John Dickerson, and David Plotz, is the kind of informal and irreverent discussion Washington journalists have The crew looks at what Americans think about aid to Ukraine one year on, how the public may respond to Sen. John Fetterman's treatment for clinical depression and former President Trump's legal liability in a Fulton County investigation. All rights reserved. Above, storm clouds over downtown Laramie, Wyo., on Aug. 13, 2022. This installment of the podcast explores the role that the Black church plays in American politics, through initiatives like "souls to the polls" and beyond. They also review the mostly finalized congressional maps for the cycle and discuss new polling on American polarization. The majority of the coverage did not show signs of bias, such as articles on immigration, midterm elections and the Jan. 6 hearings. They determine whether we live in a free or repres Instagram did not return a 200. With the benefit of hindsight and some time to breathe, Galen Druke reflects on key moments of the 2020 race with the authors of the new book, Lucky: How Joe Biden Barely Won The Presidency. fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts In this installment of "Model Talk," Nate Silver and Galen Druke discuss what to make of the divergence between the conventional wisdom that Republicans will do very well in the midterms and polling showing Democrats leading in numerous competitive Senate races. Thanks! They also debate the meaning of a recent poll from Axios that suggests Americans are exhausted. The crew discusses what the political environment is likely to look like in 2022 based on history and current indicators. The crew talks about why President Biden's approval is underwater, what the consequences are for Democrats and what they can do about it. Galen and Nate open the mailbag to answer listeners questions about politics, polling and more. Overall, more moderate candidates were able to win against challengers from the Right and Left flank of both parties, although there was a sizable protest vote in some instances. Thirty-six governors seats are up for election this fall and the crew looks at some where full control of state government might be decided by the governors race. fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts. But that doesnt stop us from talking about what we do know: that Republicans didnt make major gains in the Senate, and that the polls were pretty good this cycle. The crew looks at how the Johnson & Johnson vaccine pause shaped public opinion of that vaccine and willingness to be vaccinated more broadly. It originally aired at the beginning of 2020 and across three episodes we looked at how our presidential primary system came to be, its consequences and how it could be different. The crew checks in on the California recall election and other upcoming races, and talks about how a Trump endorsement is shaping a Wyoming primary. Subscribe and listen Also available wherever you listen to podcasts Google Stitcher iHeartRadio Castbox TuneIn Election Day in Georgia is just a week away, so the crew shook off their turkey hangover to talk about what to expect in Georgias second Senate runoff in two years. Two days after Election Day, control of the U.S. House and Senate still hangs in the balance as votes are tallied in the Western states. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. They also consider whether the ensuing confirmation process will impact the countrys broader political environment in a Midterm election year. FiveThirtyEight Politics 295 views 25 Feb 2021 Transcribe your podcast [00:00:06] Hello and welcome to the 538 Politics podcast. 30, 2021 How The CDC's Blindspots Complicated The Fight Against COVID-19 By Maggie Koerth and Sinduja Srinivasan Filed under Podcast-19 Jun. They also ask whether we should be skeptical of polls showing Democrats performing well in parts of the Midwest where polls have repeatedly underestimated Republicans. Cautionary Tales with Tim Harford on Stitcher Podcast-19 - FiveThirtyEight Democrat Melanie Stansbury won a special election in New Mexico's first congressional district by a 25-point margin last Tuesday, performing better than Democrats did in the district in 2020. What does the bench of Democratic leadership look like beyond Biden? And what does Floridas new voting law tell us about the GOPs efforts to change the way Americans vote, and the partys larger motivations? Video What to do about George Santos | FiveThirtyEight Politics Podcast OPEC+ announced its cutting oil production by 2 million barrels a day, President Biden is talking about the threat of nuclear Armageddon and shoes keep dropping in the Georgia Senate race. In his new book "Aftermath: The Last Days of the Baby Boom and the Future of Power in America," Washington Post national columnist Philip Bump argues that many of the fissures that the country is facing today politically, economically, culturally have to do with the Baby Boomers getting old. FiveThirtyEight Politics Podcast Feb. 21, 2023 Politics Podcast: Some Republicans Are Souring On Aid To Ukraine Feb. 16, 2023 Nikki Haley Has Tough Competition In Trump And DeSantis By Galen. This is the second episode. In this installment of "Model Talk," Nate Silver and Galen Druke discuss what's behind the recent movement in the forecast and answer questions from listeners. What role do Liz Cheney-type Republicans have to play in the future of the GOP (if any)? This research library service enables you to: Search more than 2,489,000 U.S. broadcasts using closed captioning; Borrow broadcasts on DVDs; View and Cite short streamed clips; Compare and Contrast perspectives across networks, stations and time; and Place video quotes within your commentary. Each week, host Jody Avirgan brings you stories and interviews about how data is changing our lives. send a tweet. They also look ahead to how the Department of Justice will navigate the complexities of deciding whether to bring charges against Trump and how a Republican majority in the House could respond. How The Federal Reserve Is The Shadow Branch Of The Government, Why Original Predictions About The War In Ukraine Were So Off. The crew talks about where Americans stand on mitigation efforts, how politicians are responding, and what public health experts are saying about the current state of the pandemic. apache saddles amarillo texas shockwave treatment for gallstones in the philippines price They play a game of "Guess What Americans Think," in which the panelists have to guess Americans' opinions on a wide variety of topics, including Elon Musk, inflation and Britney Spears. They also discuss recent polling showing that President Biden has disproportionately lost support among traditionally Democratic voting groups. Whereas Tester . Democrat and former state Rep. Mary Peltola won Alaska's special congressional election on Wednesday, defeating Republicans Sarah Palin and Nick Begich III. The crew discusses how debates on both the debt ceiling and the future of Rep. George Santoss career might unfold. What role do Liz Cheney-type Republicans have to play in the future of the GOP (if any)? But some Republicans are still jockeying for position to be the next leader of the party, the most prominent of which may be Florida Governor Ron DeSantis. The crew previews what to expect on Election Day and listens to some of the most common types of campaign ads aired this cycle. They also talk about how the California recall election is shaping up after a recent poll showed increased support for recalling current Governor Gavin Newsom. And lastly, they check-in on the gubernatorial recall efforts in California that are very likely to result in a recall election for Governor Gavin Newsom. FiveThirtyEight On The Road - Splash We hear from two people involved in the progressive movement in New York City about their thoughts on whats happening in the race and how progressivism is shaping politics more broadly. Millions of people were without power or heat, and in some cases water, in freezing cold temperatures for days because of severe blackouts. The crew asks why Queen Elizabeth II's passing has received such intense global press coverage. 11:03 AM. Perry Bacon Jr. speaks with Galen Druke about his recent reporting on the kinds of ideas that have gained currency on the Left and how the Right has responded. 10 Wednesday AM Reads - The Big Picture Trump Is Setting A Dangerous Precedent For American Democracy 240 views He rejected the presidents requests and has consistently spoken out against conspiracy theories surrounding the election. The crew discusses how much the two parties are spending on campaign ads and if it could factor into the forecasts shift. Its generally considered to be one of the most comprehensive pictures of trends within the electorate. The crew also takes a look at the changes to election law that Republicans have proposed in Georgia and other states after Trump's loss in 2020. They also break down what that means for future cases and what it means for the legitimacy of the court overall. 91.5 Chapel Hill 88.9 Manteo 90.9 Rocky Mount 91.1 Welcome 91.9 Fayetteville 90.5 Buxton 94.1 Lumberton 99.9 Southern Pines Nate Silver's. In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, Smialek argues that over the past century, through successive crises, the Fed has accumulated the power to choose winners and losers . If Europe, and of the shop leave us a rating or review in the Apple podcast store when you rating. Galen speaks with Atlanta Journal Constitution reporters Tia Mitchell and Greg Bluestein about how the Georgia senate runoff is looking in the final stretch. In this late night edition of the podcast, the crew discusses the factors that went into Republican Glenn Youngkin winning the Virginia governor's race. They also debate whether the AARP is correct in assessing that women voters over the age of 50 are likely to decide the outcome of the 2022 midterms. They also look at how the Democratic Party's effort to rearrange its presidential primary calendar is going, and ask whether a survey of Republican National Committee members was a good or bad use of polling. Good Sport on Apple Podcasts American politics has changed a lot in the twenty years since the 9/11 terrorist attacks. The State Of The Polls, 2016. You can get between 30 cents to $1.10 for every audio minute, which sums up to $18 - $66 per audio hour. This is an unofficial transcript meant for reference. FiveThirtyEight Politics Transcripts | Podgist FiveThirtyEight Politics https://fivethirtyeight.com/podcasts/ Nate Silver and the FiveThirtyEight team cover the latest in politics, tracking the issues and "game-changers" every week. They also discuss how incumbents have been faring overall in this midterms primaries. They also analyze a new poll from YouGov that breaks down why 78 percent of Americans say they have changed their mind on one or more political issue over the course of their lives. It helps our wrinkle, which helps other discover the shop or just tell them on about this series, we'll be . Five Thirty-Eight sometimes referred to as 538, focuses on opinion poll analysis, politics, economics, and sports blogging. The crew runs down a list of theories in a game of Buy, Sell, or Hold to discuss what evidence, if any, supports some of these arguments. The director of the Harvard Study of Adult Development -- the longest study of human life ever conducted -- concluded in a new book that close personal relationships are the "one crucial factor [that] stands out for the consistency and power of its ties to physical health, mental health and longevity." Zach and ESPN's Michael Schwartz break down the red-hot Suns ahead of their showdown with the Warriors, then ESPN's Dave McMenamin checks in on the Lakers -- plus . 10 Wednesday AM Reads. - In her first-ever diary entry, recorded eight days after President John F. Kennedy is assassinated, Lady Bird presents a dramatic, cinematically detailed moment-by-moment account of those terrible hours in Dallas, and the days that follow. They also touch on the health of the polling industry and how much Biden's success in a potential 2024 primary hangs on Democrats' performance at the midterms. heritage commons university of utah. The crew breaks down notable primary races in Minnesota, Vermont and Wisconsin. In this installment of "Model Talk," Nate and Galen discuss a recently published assessment of how our 2022 midterm forecast performed. A lack of those relationships can actually have an impact on political behavior and interest in extreme ideologies. The Sporkful production team includes Dan Pashman, Emma Morgenstern, Andres O'Hara, Tracey Samuelson, and Jared O'Connell. He is one of the ten House Republicans who voted to impeach President Trump after his supporters attacked the Capitol on Jan. 6. They also analyze the court's other recent rulings on gun restrictions and school prayer and preview some of Tuesday's biggest primary elections. It was his first big national speech since the midterms and a preview of his likely 2024 reelection bid. The crew discusses the various types of legislation different states may adopt if Roe v. Wade is overturned, and how those policies jibe with local public opinion. The crew also looks at changes the Democratic Party is hoping to make to the 2024 presidential primary calendar. The results are mixed in terms of which factions of both parties performed well and the marquee Republican Senate primary race in Pennsylvania is still close to call and could remain that way for days. If you don't already have iTunes, you can download it here. Transcript for What if America had a lot more political parties? As we head into the new year and our attention begins to turn to the presidential primaries, we decided to reair our audio documentary series, The Primaries Project. They also look back at 2021, try to pinpoint the most consequential political events of the year and discuss how their understanding of American politics was challenged. Jury Duty: Who Gets Called, And Who Actually Serves | WUNC The crew discusses Manchins rationale and where Democrats might go from here. They also rank the Senate races that will be most important in determining which party controls the Senate next year. Saturday, February 25, 2023. With midterm elections in the rearview mirror, Galen and Nate open up the mail bag to answer lingering questions about the results. Science reporter Maggie Koerth also joins to talk about shifting attitudes on climate change among Republicans. The Rules of the Game podcast discusses and compares democratic institutions from around the world. 266, the . FiveThirtyEight Filed under Podcast-19 Jun. The crew talks about the appeal of celebrity candidates and what it tells us about our politics. Hours before we freeze the FiveThirtyEight midterm forecast tonight, it shows that Republicans are in a dead heat for the Senate and are favored to win the House. The crew discusses how the other nine Republicans are faring in their bids to win reelection and debate whether CNNs new polling methodology is a good or bad use of polling. FiveThirtyEight Politics Show - PodCenter - ESPN Radio They also look at the politics of two hot button issues in the Senate and speak with Carlos Odio of Equis Research about how Latino voters are viewing the two parties in 2022. They also ask why support for gun control measures hasn't translated into new laws and look at steps the Pew Research Center is taking to ensure they have a representative sample of Republicans in their panel surveys. The crew breaks down a poll that asked Americans to identify from good to evil and lawful to chaotic on the Dungeons and Dragons alignment chart. (30 for 30, FiveThirtyEight, Radiotopia) and the TED Audio Collective, Good Sport is your guide through an array of stadiums . The podcast crew discusses what Rep. Liz Cheney might do next with her message and what an independent bid for president might entail. The Negro League Stars That MLB Kept Out And Is Finally Recognizing. During a punchy episode of FiveThirtyEight's now daily politics podcast on Wednesday, Silver pushed back forcefully on anyone out there accusing him or his website of getting the 2020 election. Galen speaks with reporter Kaleigh Rogers about how candidates who denied the legitimacy of the 2020 election did in the midterms and what the future of election denialism looks like.
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